Lorient vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOR
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 2
GIR
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 1
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GIR
0 - 0
MPL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 0
MPL
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 1
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 3
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |