Lorient vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
LOR
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 3
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 4
LOR
7%
15%
78%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
MPL
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
GAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GAZ
2 - 3
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
SAI
1 - 2
GAZ
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 0
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 1
GAZ
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |