Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
LOR
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
ROD
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CLE
0 - 2
LOR
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 1
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
LMU
1 - 2
LOR
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
VAL
44%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
LMU
2 - 4
AJA
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 0
ORL
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
AUX
3 - 1
AJA
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 0
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |