Lorient Sub 19 vs Guingamp Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
3º
1º
33
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 0
TRE
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
LAV
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VER
2 - 3
LOR
20%
20%
61%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
AVR
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 2
GUI
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAN
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +4 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 3
REN
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
GUI
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |