Lorentzweiler vs Minerva Lintgen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
84
1º
6º
1º
22
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 4
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
BER
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DCE
1 - 7
LOR
6%
14%
79%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FFN
2 - 3
LOR
21%
21%
58%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 1
ERP
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva Lintgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MLI
1 - 3
YBD
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ERP
3 - 0
MLI
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BER
5 - 0
MLI
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -3 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MLI
0 - 2
JEU
18%
21%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
YBD
4 - 2
MLI
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |