Lorentzweiler vs Marisca Mersch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
MLI
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 0
JEU
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 0
MER
56%
21%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 3
LOR
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
7 - 3
ORA
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
6 - 1
RES
91%
6%
2%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 0
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
6 - 0
ORA
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 2
BWM
50%
22%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |