Lorentzweiler vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOE
2 - 5
LOR
11%
16%
73%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 2
LOR
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
MLI
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
FCA
4 - 1
LOR
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 3
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
TBB
2 - 7
BAS
42%
23%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
KEH
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
FEU
4 - 0
BAS
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
ORA
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 3
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |