Liga Nacional Murcia Round 29

Lorca CFB U19 vs CFS El Progreso U19 analysis

Lorca CFB U19 CFS El Progreso U19
14 ELO 14
0.9% Tilt -0.1%
11973º General ELO ranking 14366º
2131º Country ELO ranking 4020º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Lorca CFB U19
19.5%
Draw
21.8%
CFS El Progreso U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Lorca CFB U19
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.8%
Win probability
CFS El Progreso U19
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorca CFB U19
+69%
+26%
CFS El Progreso U19

Points and table prediction

Lorca CFB U19
Their league position
CFS El Progreso U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
11º
46
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Murcia Promises U19
75
75
0%
UCAM Murcia U19 B
75
75
0%
ADM Lorquí U19
71
71
100%
Real Murcia U19 B
69
69
100%
EF Torre Pacheco U19
66
66
100%
CD Cieza U19
58
58
100%
Lorca CFB U19
57
57
100%
Cartagena FC U19
56
56
100%
Pinatar U19
53
53
100%
CFS El Progreso U19
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Unión Archena U19
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Unión Molinense U19
12º
44
44
12º
100%
CD Mediterráneo U19
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Fútbol Base Yecla U19
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Beniaján CF U19
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Murcia Promesas U19
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Guadalupe U19
17º
12
12
17º
100%
Mar Menor CF U19
18º
1
1
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lorca CFB U19
CFS El Progreso U19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lorca CFB U19
CFS El Progreso U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorca CFB U19
Lorca CFB U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
EFM
Unión Molinense U19
1 - 3
Lorca CFB U19
LOR
52%
21%
27%
14 15 1 0
13 Apr. 2024
LOR
Lorca CFB U19
3 - 0
Beniaján CF U19
BEN
74%
16%
11%
14 9 5 0
07 Apr. 2024
UCA
UCAM Murcia U19 B
6 - 2
Lorca CFB U19
LOR
81%
13%
6%
14 24 10 0
23 Mar. 2024
LOR
Lorca CFB U19
0 - 4
Murcia Promises U19
ACA
21%
22%
57%
15 22 7 -1
17 Mar. 2024
MMC
Mar Menor CF U19
2 - 7
Lorca CFB U19
LOR
18%
20%
62%
14 7 7 +1

Matches

CFS El Progreso U19
CFS El Progreso U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
PRO
CFS El Progreso U19
2 - 2
Murcia Promesas U19
MUR
56%
21%
24%
14 12 2 0
14 Apr. 2024
CDM
CD Mediterráneo U19
2 - 1
CFS El Progreso U19
PRO
47%
21%
32%
14 13 1 0
07 Apr. 2024
PRO
CFS El Progreso U19
1 - 0
Unión Archena U19
ARC
39%
23%
39%
13 16 3 +1
23 Mar. 2024
PRO
CFS El Progreso U19
1 - 0
Unión Molinense U19
EFM
36%
22%
42%
13 15 2 0
16 Mar. 2024
BEN
Beniaján CF U19
2 - 2
CFS El Progreso U19
PRO
35%
22%
42%
13 11 2 0