Loon-Plage vs Hérouville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hérouville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
HER
0 - 5
VOL
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LAT
3 - 0
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HER
3 - 0
LOC
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LAV
3 - 1
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |