Longford Town vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
10º
10º
35
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 57 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 56 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 27 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 87% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 1
LON
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 3
LON
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 2
CAO
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LON
2 - 3
FIN
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MUT
1 - 0
LON
8%
17%
76%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
COB
1 - 2
UCD
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UCD
3 - 0
ATH
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 2
WEX
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
UCD
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 1
TRE
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |