Longford Town vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
9º
8º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOH
1 - 0
LON
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LON
0 - 2
SHE
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
LON
0 - 2
CAO
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 0
LON
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
LON
2 - 2
GAL
30%
27%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DRO
2 - 0
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 2
SLR
14%
19%
66%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 3
SHE
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
4 - 2
ATH
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
3 - 2
CAO
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |