LONGA vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
DES
3 - 1
LON
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PAP
3 - 0
LON
76%
16%
9%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MEE
7 - 2
LON
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LON
1 - 4
VEN
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
DIJ
4 - 1
LON
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MEE
0 - 5
GEM
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VEN
0 - 1
GEM
32%
24%
43%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GEM
1 - 0
DIJ
55%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEM
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GEM
2 - 0
DEU
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |