LONGA '30 vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BEQ
2 - 0
LON
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
ALC
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 0
LON
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
ROH
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RKH
0 - 1
LON
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SCN
3 - 1
DEB
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HOO
0 - 0
SCN
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCN
1 - 2
MSC
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SCN
1 - 2
BEQ
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
SCN
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |