Long Eaton United vs Worksop Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
4º
18º
4º
99
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
41 | 41 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
40 | 40 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
21 | 21 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Long Eaton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
LOU
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
GAI
4 - 2
LON
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
GAI
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
GRE
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
LON
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Worksop Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 3
WOR
29%
25%
47%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 0
SHE
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 2
WOR
65%
22%
14%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
WOR
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
6 - 0
LIN
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |