FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 2-3
Long Eaton United vs South Normanton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Long Eaton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 8
LON
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GBO
1 - 0
LON
53%
20%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LON
2 - 1
STA
86%
10%
5%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
6 - 0
LON
12%
17%
71%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -4 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
HEA
3 - 2
LON
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
South Normanton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SNA
5 - 0
SEL
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
QUO
3 - 2
SNA
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SLE
0 - 1
SNA
67%
18%
16%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BIR
3 - 0
SNA
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
SNA
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |