Long Eaton United vs Newark Flowserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Long Eaton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ANN
0 - 3
LON
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
LON
2 - 1
DEE
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 1
LON
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
QUO
1 - 6
LON
13%
16%
71%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LON
7 - 0
PIU
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Newark Flowserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
NEF
1 - 4
HEA
53%
21%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DEE
0 - 3
NEF
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NEF
1 - 5
ANN
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NEF
3 - 2
HEA
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PIU
5 - 2
NEF
7%
13%
81%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -2 |