Londrina vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
LON
1 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
JEC
0 - 0
LON
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
LON
1 - 0
ANA
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
AVA
1 - 1
LON
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CON
2 - 1
LON
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
SER
0 - 0
NOV
51%
22%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
GOI
1 - 1
SER
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
ANA
2 - 0
SER
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
CSA
3 - 1
SER
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
SER
0 - 2
CRB
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |