Lommel SK vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 3
LOM
12%
17%
71%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
LOM
1 - 2
REI
31%
26%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
KVC
2 - 1
LOM
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LOM
2 - 1
DEI
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 3
LOM
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
5 - 0
LYO
6%
15%
79%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
SPA
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 0
TEL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
PAT
80%
14%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |