Lommel SK vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LOM
2 - 3
RWD
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
LOM
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
WAA
2 - 1
LOM
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LOM
3 - 0
MOU
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
GAE
2 - 2
LOM
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 2
MOU
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
KVC
2 - 0
EXC
77%
17%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
KSK
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
WAA
4 - 3
EXC
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEI
27%
25%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |