Q. Europa League Play-Offs. Final
Global 2-4
Lokomotiva vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RIJ
1 - 0
LOK
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
LOK
2 - 3
OSI
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
VOR
2 - 3
LOK
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
IST
1 - 1
LOK
15%
22%
64%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
LOK
0 - 0
VOR
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GNK
2 - 2
WAA
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
GNK
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
CAO
1 - 2
GNK
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
GNK
2 - 1
OOS
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
GNK
1 - 0
CAO
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |