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Europa League. Group E, Matchday 5

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Lazio analysis

Lokomotiv Moskva Lazio
73 ELO 84
32% Tilt -29%
157º General ELO ranking 35º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.2%
Lokomotiv Moskva
24.8%
Draw
21%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Moskva
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21%
Win probability
Lazio
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Basic stats

38
62
POS
8
17
SOT
3
10
COR
0
3
GF
3
0
GC
13
17
FRK
73
84
ELO
1.6
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Lokomotiv Moskva
Their league position
Lazio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Galatasaray SK
12
12
100%
Lazio
9
9
100%
Olympique Marseille
7
7
100%
Lokomotiv Moskva
2
2
100%
Expected probabilities
Lokomotiv Moskva
Lazio
Next phase
0% 0%
Europa League Qualifying Round
0% 100%
Conference League Qualifying Round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Lazio
LAZ
Lokomotiv Moskva
LOK
Napoli
NAP
Arsenal Tula
ARS
Sassuolo
SAS
Udinese
UDI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Moskva
Lokomotiv Moskva
1%
X%
2%
ELO LOK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2021
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
1 - 2
Akhmat Grozny
TER
62%
21%
17%
2100 1374 726 -13
07 Nov. 2021
SPA
Spartak Moskva
1 - 1
Lokomotiv Moskva
LOK
47%
27%
26%
2100 2007 -93 0
04 Nov. 2021
GAL
Galatasaray SK
1 - 1
Lokomotiv Moskva
LOK
56%
24%
20%
2096 2372 276 +6
30 Oct. 2021
OLY
FK Nizhny Novgorod
1 - 2
Lokomotiv Moskva
LOK
25%
25%
50%
2088 1104 -984 +4
25 Oct. 2021
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
2 - 1
Sochi
SOC
58%
22%
20%
2083 1534 549 +5

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO LAZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 2
Juventus
JUV
35%
27%
38%
2743 3450 -707 -12
07 Nov. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
83%
12%
5%
2740 1153 1587 +3
04 Nov. 2021
MAR
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
45%
27%
29%
2741 2474 -267 +2
30 Oct. 2021
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
52%
26%
22%
2733 2872 139 +3
27 Oct. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
57%
23%
20%
2725 2412 313 +8