Lokomotiv Moskva vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FCR
0 - 1
LOK
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
LOK
0 - 0
FCR
45%
27%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
LOK
0 - 2
PER
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
LOK
1 - 0
FHV
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
LOK
2 - 0
ELF
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
FCR
1 - 0
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
ARS
0 - 1
GAZ
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
FCR
0 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 1
UFA
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 2
URA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |