Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BVR
0 - 3
LOK
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LOK
1 - 1
DOB
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
LOK
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
LOK
0 - 0
VER
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CHB
1 - 3
LOK
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
LOK
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
PIR
3 - 0
SVA
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
BGA
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MAS
3 - 0
SVA
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
MON
12%
23%
66%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | -1 |