UEFA Intertoto Cup . Last 16
Global 4-3
Lokeren vs Zaglebie Lubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
ZAL
2 - 2
LOK
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2001 |
LOK
0 - 0
TOF
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
TOF
2 - 4
LOK
15%
20%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
SDL
1 - 3
LOK
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
LOK
3 - 0
HAR
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
ZAL
2 - 2
LOK
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2001 |
HIB
1 - 0
ZAL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
ZAL
4 - 0
HIB
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
WIS
3 - 0
ZAL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PLO
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |