Loei City vs Siam Navy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loei City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KAP
1 - 0
LOE
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LOE
5 - 1
CHI
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
KAP
0 - 1
LOE
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PHA
1 - 0
LOE
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ROI
2 - 2
LOE
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Siam Navy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SIA
0 - 4
MUA
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ARM
2 - 0
SIA
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
OSO
1 - 0
SIA
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +9 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SIA
1 - 0
BBC
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
SIA
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -10 |