Locarno vs SC Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
5º
2º
30
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 58 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 44 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 41 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 25 |
14º
|
64.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 1
FCM
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
LOC
28%
21%
51%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
IBA
1 - 1
LOC
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ACM
3 - 3
LOC
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LOC
5 - 1
LAC
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
SCE
1 - 5
FCS
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 4
SCE
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SCE
2 - 2
LAC
35%
21%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BUO
5 - 2
SCE
58%
20%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SCE
3 - 3
FCT
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |