Locarno vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SEE
2 - 0
LOC
29%
24%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STG
1 - 0
LOC
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FCP
2 - 1
LOC
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MEN
0 - 3
LOC
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LOC
0 - 0
SEU
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RSZ
2 - 3
GRA
38%
24%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
FCT
2 - 2
RSZ
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BAZ
2 - 1
RSZ
19%
23%
59%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
RSZ
5 - 2
SEU
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
RSZ
3 - 4
KRU
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | -1 |