Challenge League round 16

Locarno vs FC Vaduz analysis

Locarno FC Vaduz
52 ELO 62
3.3% Tilt 13.8%
6323º General ELO ranking 1017º
86º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24%
Locarno
23.9%
Draw
52.1%
FC Vaduz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
Locarno
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.1%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Locarno
+13%
+3%
FC Vaduz

ELO progression

Locarno
FC Vaduz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Locarno
Locarno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2012
CHA
SC Cham
2 - 2
Locarno
LOC
35%
23%
42%
53 46 7 0
03 Nov. 2012
WOH
Wohlen
0 - 0
Locarno
LOC
49%
25%
27%
53 56 3 0
27 Oct. 2012
LOC
Locarno
0 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
21%
25%
55%
53 67 14 0
22 Oct. 2012
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 1
Locarno
LOC
65%
21%
14%
54 64 10 -1
07 Oct. 2012
LOC
Locarno
1 - 3
Chiasso
CHI
42%
27%
31%
55 59 4 -1

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2012
FCS
FC Schaan
0 - 3
FC Vaduz
FCV
8%
14%
79%
61 12 49 0
04 Nov. 2012
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
45%
25%
31%
61 62 1 0
27 Oct. 2012
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
43%
25%
32%
61 63 2 0
21 Oct. 2012
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
55%
23%
23%
62 67 5 -1
07 Oct. 2012
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 0
Winterthur
WIN
40%
25%
36%
61 65 4 +1