Apertura Ascenso MX . Jor. 10

Lobos BUAP vs Leones Negros analysis

Lobos BUAP Leones Negros
71 ELO 68
1.4% Tilt -4.1%
19550º General ELO ranking 1368º
144º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
52%
Lobos BUAP
26.2%
Draw
21.8%
Leones Negros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
Lobos BUAP
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.8%
Win probability
Leones Negros
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lobos BUAP
Leones Negros
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lobos BUAP
Lobos BUAP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2015
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 - 2
Lobos BUAP
LOB
18%
26%
56%
71 49 22 0
23 Sep. 2015
TOR
Celaya
1 - 2
Lobos BUAP
LOB
26%
25%
49%
71 59 12 0
19 Sep. 2015
LOB
Lobos BUAP
0 - 0
Celaya
TOR
67%
20%
13%
72 58 14 -1
16 Sep. 2015
LOB
Lobos BUAP
2 - 0
Celaya
TOR
64%
21%
16%
71 59 12 +1
12 Sep. 2015
CAF
Cafetaleros
0 - 3
Lobos BUAP
LOB
41%
29%
30%
70 61 9 +1

Matches

Leones Negros
Leones Negros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2015
MUR
Murciélagos
1 - 2
Leones Negros
UDG
19%
28%
52%
69 47 22 0
23 Sep. 2015
MUR
Murciélagos
1 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
13%
19%
68%
70 46 24 -1
19 Sep. 2015
UDG
Leones Negros
0 - 0
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
68%
22%
10%
70 49 21 0
16 Sep. 2015
UDG
Leones Negros
2 - 0
Murciélagos
MUR
74%
17%
9%
70 47 23 0
13 Sep. 2015
TOR
Celaya
0 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
33%
29%
39%
70 59 11 0
X