Lobos BUAP vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 0
LOB
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
4 - 0
LOB
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LOB
0 - 1
UAT
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOB
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 0
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
UDG
2 - 0
ALT
47%
28%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
UDG
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
3 - 0
UDG
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
UDG
0 - 3
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
UDG
3 - 1
DEL
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |