Lobos BUAP vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
5 - 2
LOB
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
LOB
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 1
ALT
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LOB
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
UAT
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
LEO
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
NEC
27%
32%
42%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |