Lobão vs Caldas São Jorge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
+522%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 1
LOB
47%
23%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOB
1 - 3
SAN
14%
19%
66%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 0
LOB
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOB
0 - 3
ARG
20%
21%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 0
LOB
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas São Jorge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CSJ
3 - 2
ARG
10%
17%
73%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOS
2 - 1
CSJ
60%
21%
20%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CSJ
0 - 3
MOS
10%
17%
73%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
4 - 0
CSJ
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CSJ
1 - 2
RME
36%
23%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |