Primera B Clausura round 3

Llaneros vs Tigres FC analysis

Llaneros Tigres FC
58 ELO 53
-2.6% Tilt -1.1%
579º General ELO ranking 2012º
16º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
60%
Llaneros
22.9%
Draw
17.2%
Tigres FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
Llaneros
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.2%
Win probability
Tigres FC
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Llaneros
-15%
+10%
Tigres FC

ELO progression

Llaneros
Tigres FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Llaneros
Llaneros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2012
UNI
Unión Magdalena
1 - 0
Llaneros
LLA
51%
26%
23%
58 60 2 0
30 Aug. 2012
BOG
Bogotá
1 - 1
Llaneros
LLA
60%
24%
17%
58 65 7 0
27 Aug. 2012
LLA
Llaneros
1 - 2
Uniautónoma
UNI
36%
27%
37%
58 64 6 0
21 Aug. 2012
PER
Deportivo Pereira
4 - 0
Llaneros
LLA
59%
24%
17%
59 65 6 -1
15 Aug. 2012
LLA
Llaneros
1 - 1
Universitario Popayán
UNI
41%
28%
31%
59 63 4 0

Matches

Tigres FC
Tigres FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2012
FOR
Fortaleza
2 - 0
Tigres FC
TFC
66%
20%
14%
54 60 6 0
29 Aug. 2012
TFC
Tigres FC
1 - 0
Fortaleza
FOR
29%
28%
43%
53 61 8 +1
25 Aug. 2012
TFC
Tigres FC
4 - 0
Real Santander
REA
28%
26%
45%
52 56 4 +1
19 Aug. 2012
SFC
Sucre FC
2 - 1
Tigres FC
TFC
66%
22%
12%
52 63 11 0
15 Aug. 2012
TFC
Tigres FC
0 - 0
Unión Magdalena
UNI
26%
28%
46%
52 61 9 0