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FAW Championship Gales. Sur, Matchday 19

Llanelli Town AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC analysis

Llanelli Town AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
12 ELO 28
15% Tilt 75%
9954º General ELO ranking 4653º
85º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
27.8%
Llanelli Town AFC
21.7%
Draw
50.5%
Haverfordwest County AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
Llanelli Town AFC
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.5%
Win probability
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Llanelli Town AFC
+54%
+114%
Haverfordwest County AFC

Points and table prediction

Llanelli Town AFC
Their league position
Haverfordwest County AFC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Swansea University
56
65
48%
Haverfordwest County AFC
55
65
54%
Briton Ferry
47
58
81%
Cambrian & Clydach
40
48
18%
STM Sports
39
52
17%
Ammanford AFC
37
46
34%
Llanelli Town AFC
37
43
22%
Goytre United
36
43
18%
Pontypridd Town
34
40
10º
20%
Afan Lido
10º
34
42
19%
Llantwit Major
11º
27
36
12º
15%
Undy Athletic
12º
23
37
11º
18%
Cwmbran Celtic
13º
22
31
13º
20%
Taffs Well
14º
21
28
14º
39%
Cwmamman United
15º
17
24
15º
40%
Caerau Ely
16º
7
14
16º
90%
Expected probabilities
Llanelli Town AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
Champion
0% 44%
Mid-table
100% 56%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
Afan Lido
LID
Cambrian & Clydach
CAM
Pontypridd Town
PON
Briton Ferry
BRI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Llanelli Town AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO LLA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2019
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
4 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
51%
26%
23%
168 349 181 -2
20 Dec. 2019
BRI
Briton Ferry
4 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
47%
27%
26%
170 251 81 -2
13 Dec. 2019
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
2 - 2
Goytre United
GOY
41%
28%
31%
170 282 -112 0
29 Nov. 2019
PON
Pontypridd Town
2 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
46%
27%
26%
171 241 70 -1
22 Nov. 2019
LID
Afan Lido
5 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
46%
27%
26%
174 250 76 -2

Matches

Haverfordwest County AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO HAV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2019
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
4 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
51%
26%
23%
349 168 181 +2
06 Mar. 2020
GOY
Goytre United
0 - 2
Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
41%
28%
30%
349 282 -67 0
14 Dec. 2019
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
3 - 2
Pontypridd Town
PON
49%
26%
25%
348 241 107 +1
30 Nov. 2019
CAE
Caerau Ely
0 - 2
Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
41%
28%
31%
346 206 -140 +2
22 Nov. 2019
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
1 - 4
Briton Ferry
BRI
49%
26%
25%
348 244 104 -2