Livorno vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
LIV
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 3
OLB
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
JS2
6 - 0
LIV
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
PIA
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 0
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
REN
0 - 2
ABN
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
PON
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
REN
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
GRO
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |