Livorno vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 2
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 3
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
LIV
3 - 1
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 2
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ABN
3 - 3
ASC
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ASC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |