Livingston vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
DUN
42%
25%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 0
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
0 - 2
KIL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ABE
2 - 0
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ICT
1 - 3
MHE
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
MHE
4 - 2
DUN
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MHE
2 - 0
HOM
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
MHE
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |