Premier League . Jor. 11

Liverpool vs Watford analysis

Liverpool Watford
88 ELO 79
3.4% Tilt 14.1%
General ELO ranking 468º
Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
67.3%
Liverpool
19.6%
Draw
13.1%
Watford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
Liverpool
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.1%
Win probability
Watford
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liverpool
-3%
-9%
Watford

ELO progression

Liverpool
Watford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2016
CRY
Crystal Palace
2 - 4
Liverpool
LIV
24%
24%
52%
88 82 6 0
25 Oct. 2016
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
48%
25%
27%
88 88 0 0
22 Oct. 2016
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
71%
19%
10%
89 81 8 -1
17 Oct. 2016
LIV
Liverpool
0 - 0
Manchester United
MUD
43%
25%
32%
88 89 1 +1
01 Oct. 2016
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 2
Liverpool
LIV
21%
24%
55%
87 80 7 +1

Matches

Watford
Watford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2016
WAT
Watford
1 - 0
Hull City
HUL
56%
24%
21%
80 77 3 0
22 Oct. 2016
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 0
Watford
WAT
40%
26%
34%
81 81 0 -1
16 Oct. 2016
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Watford
WAT
32%
27%
41%
80 76 4 +1
01 Oct. 2016
WAT
Watford
2 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
52%
24%
24%
79 77 2 +1
26 Sep. 2016
BUR
Burnley
2 - 0
Watford
WAT
35%
27%
39%
80 77 3 -1
X