Liverpool vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
77%
16%
8%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
10%
17%
73%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 0
RMA
34%
25%
42%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
RMA
3 - 1
LIV
50%
22%
28%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEI
23%
24%
54%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
TOT
2 - 1
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
WBA
3 - 0
SOU
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 2
BUR
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |