Liverpool vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
WBA
1 - 1
LIV
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 0
WAT
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
LIV
3 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SWA
3 - 1
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATH
3 - 1
SEV
42%
25%
33%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 4
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SEV
3 - 1
SHA
61%
20%
19%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
SEV
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 2
SEV
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |