Champions League Fase Final. Last 16
Global 5-0Liverpool vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 0
SUN
76%
16%
7%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MID
2 - 0
LIV
22%
26%
52%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
RMA
0 - 1
LIV
56%
23%
22%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
71%
19%
10%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 3
LIV
22%
27%
52%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
70%
17%
12%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
RMA
25%
25%
50%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
RMA
0 - 1
LIV
56%
23%
22%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RMA
6 - 1
BET
79%
14%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 4
RMA
19%
24%
58%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |