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Premier League. Matchday 33

Liverpool Newcastle
94 ELO 72
-50% Tilt 1%
General ELO ranking 178º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Liverpool
28.2%
Draw
16.3%
Newcastle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
Liverpool
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
16.3%
Win probability
Newcastle
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liverpool
-17%
+2%
Newcastle

Points and table prediction

Liverpool
Their league position
Newcastle
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
35
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
74
85
100%
Man. Utd
66
78
99%
Leicester
56
68
25%
Chelsea
55
65
16%
West Ham
55
66
24%
Liverpool
53
65
16%
Tottenham Hotspur
50
60
38%
Everton
49
58
16%
Arsenal
46
56
26%
Leeds United
10º
46
55
10º
23%
Aston Villa
11º
44
53
11º
20%
Wolves
12º
41
48
12º
28%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
13º
20%
Southampton
14º
36
44
14º
19%
Newcastle
15º
35
41
15º
20%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16º
34
41
16º
21%
Burnley
17º
33
40
17º
25%
Fulham
18º
27
31
18º
64%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
53%
Sheffield United
20º
14
18
20º
99%
Expected probabilities
Liverpool
Newcastle
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
43% 0%
Europa League
27% 0%
Mid-table
30% 96%
Relegation
0% 4%

ELO progression

Newcastle
NEW
Liverpool
LIV
Man. Utd
MUD
Arsenal
ARS
Leeds United
LEE
Villarreal
VIL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2021
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
16%
20%
64%
3491 1962 -1529 -9
14 Apr. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
0 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
53%
25%
22%
3495 3519 -24 +1
10 Apr. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
81%
12%
6%
3488 2168 1320 +2
06 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
53%
25%
22%
3519 3476 -43 -27
03 Apr. 2021
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
42%
27%
31%
3490 3110 -380 +20

Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO NEW ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
3 - 2
West Ham
WHU
40%
28%
32%
2013 2383 -370 +14
11 Apr. 2021
BUR
Burnley
1 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
53%
25%
22%
1999 2073 74 +15
04 Apr. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
30%
26%
44%
1991 3036 -1045 +7
20 Mar. 2021
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
47%
27%
26%
2012 1951 -61 -21
12 Mar. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
46%
27%
27%
2012 2155 -143 0