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UCL. Group B, Matchday 1

Liverpool vs Milan analysis

Liverpool Milan
92 ELO 87
-53% Tilt 28%
General ELO ranking 34º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26%
Liverpool
29%
Draw
45%
Milan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
Liverpool
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
45%
Win probability
Milan
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Basic stats

56
44
POS
23
6
SOT
15
2
COR
3
2
GF
2
3
GC
9
11
FRK
92
87
ELO
0.9
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team