Liverpool vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LEE
0 - 3
LIV
11%
17%
72%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
BUR
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 3
LIV
9%
16%
76%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 1
OSA
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ACM
4 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
ACM
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |