Liverpool vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHL
24%
27%
49%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
53%
25%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
CHL
0 - 0
LIV
66%
21%
12%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2005 |
ACM
3 - 3
PAL
79%
15%
7%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACM
20%
27%
53%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ACM
0 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 1
ACM
35%
28%
37%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
18%
27%
55%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |