Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
WHU
3 - 1
LIV
34%
28%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 0
LIV
33%
29%
38%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
WIG
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CHL
0 - 1
LIV
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 1
MUD
45%
25%
30%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
WIG
0 - 4
MUD
11%
22%
68%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MUD
1 - 0
CRA
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 62 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
72%
17%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |