Liverpool vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
STU
1 - 1
LIV
5%
14%
82%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
LIV
2%
10%
89%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
CRY
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 3
LIV
9%
17%
74%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
WBA
1 - 2
LIV
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
M05
2 - 1
WUR
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 3
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
M05
1 - 3
BVB
9%
15%
76%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 1
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
M05
1 - 1
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |