Liverpool vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TOT
2 - 2
LIV
14%
18%
68%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASV
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
ACM
1 - 2
LIV
18%
19%
63%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 1
LIV
8%
15%
78%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
NAP
3 - 2
LEI
54%
22%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 1
LEI
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 2
LEI
24%
24%
51%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 2
WAT
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |