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Premier League. Matchday 31

Liverpool Aston Villa
94 ELO 75
-39% Tilt 52%
General ELO ranking 133º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
54.1%
Liverpool
24.3%
Draw
21.6%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
Liverpool
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.6%
Win probability
Aston Villa
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liverpool
-16%
+35%
Aston Villa

Basic stats

66
34
POS
22
9
SOT
7
0
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
13
18
FRK
94
75
ELO
1.7
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Liverpool
Their league position
Aston Villa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
44
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
74
85
100%
Man. Utd
66
78
99%
Leicester
56
68
25%
Chelsea
55
64
15%
West Ham
55
65
25%
Liverpool
53
65
14%
Tottenham Hotspur
50
60
37%
Everton
49
59
16%
Arsenal
46
56
23%
Leeds United
10º
46
55
10º
22%
Aston Villa
11º
44
54
11º
19%
Wolves
12º
41
48
12º
27%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
13º
20%
Southampton
14º
36
44
14º
19%
Newcastle
15º
35
41
15º
21%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16º
34
41
16º
21%
Burnley
17º
33
40
17º
25%
Fulham
18º
27
31
18º
63%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
53%
Sheffield United
20º
14
18
20º
98%
Expected probabilities
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
44% 1%
Europa League
28% 0%
Mid-table
27% 99%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aston Villa
ASV
Liverpool
LIV
Real Madrid
RMA
Leeds United
LEE
Barcelona
FCB
Getafe
GET
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
53%
25%
22%
3519 3476 -43 -27
03 Apr. 2021
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
42%
27%
31%
3490 3110 -380 +20
15 Mar. 2021
WOL
Wolves
0 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
24%
24%
52%
3485 2259 -1226 +4
10 Mar. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 0
RB Leipzig
RBL
61%
21%
18%
3468 2892 576 +21
07 Mar. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
0 - 1
Fulham
FUL
84%
11%
5%
3488 1871 1617 -23

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ASV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Fulham
FUL
55%
24%
21%
2155 1878 277 +13
12 Mar. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
46%
27%
27%
2155 2012 -143 0
06 Mar. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Wolves
WOL
47%
27%
26%
2155 2259 -104 -1
03 Mar. 2021
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
38%
28%
34%
2171 1693 -478 -16
27 Feb. 2021
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
44%
27%
29%
2159 1929 -230 +12