Lithuania U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
LTU
0 - 1
ENG
9%
19%
72%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
LTU
0 - 3
MDA
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
POL
5 - 0
LTU
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
LVA
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
UKR
4 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
FIN
2 - 2
WAL
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 3
ENG
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
4 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 0
LTU
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |