Little Common vs Three Bridges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
52.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Little Common
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
COR
1 - 2
LCO
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BED
2 - 1
LCO
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LCO
2 - 2
BED
22%
19%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LCO
1 - 2
EAS
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
VCD
4 - 3
THR
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
THR
0 - 1
SEV
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
THR
2 - 1
WHI
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
WHY
0 - 2
THR
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
THR
0 - 2
CRA
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |